A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for our area through Sunday evening due to the heavy rains we are set to receive this weekend. Additionally a Tornado Watch has been issued for counties to our north and west. The watch currently does not include Collin or Denton counties, but considering the anticipated weather set for tonight, we very well may have this watch extended to our area, or a new one issued later today. Again, this event is set to be a very large hail and high wind event. I will provide updates to this, but plan accordingly! Both watch details are below.

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES. IN NORTH
CENTRAL TEXAS…COLLIN…DALLAS…DENTON…HUNT…JACK…
KAUFMAN…PALO PINTO…PARKER…ROCKWALL…STEPHENS…
TARRANT…WISE…AND YOUNG. IN NORTHEAST TEXAS…DELTA…
HOPKINS…RAINS…AND VAN ZANDT.

* FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT
WILL AFFECT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL ON ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY IN THE WATCH AREA…PARTICULARLY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR
YOUR AREA.

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 222
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 135 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF DURANT
OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 221…

DISCUSSION…STRONG INSTABILITY IN THE PRESENCE OF PERSISTENT LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG ADVANCING FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HAS
LED TO  A VOLATILE SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS NWRN TX AND
ADJACENT AREAS OF THE RED RIVER IN OK THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT STORM
INITIATION SHORTLY NEAR DRYLINE/FRONT INTERSECTION IN WRN SECTIONS
OF THE WATCH. MLCAPE OF 2500-3000 J PER KG WILL FUEL POTENT UPDRAFTS
ONCE INHIBITION IS OVERCOME. CELLS SHOULD QUICKLY ACQUIRE SUPERCELL
CHARACTERISTICS WITH JUST ENOUGH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT
PERSISTENT UPDRAFT ROTATION. VERY LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE ONE OF THE
MORE SIGNIFICANT THREATS WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF
CAPE AND STRENGTH OF UPDRAFTS. TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL BE MODULATED
BY OVERALL STORM EVOLUTION. HOWEVER…CELLS TRACKING NEAR THE FRONT
AND OUTFLOW WILL HAVE ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR/VORTICITY AVAILABLE
TO THEM AND COULD END UP PRODUCING A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.
EVENTUALLY…CELL MERGERS MAY SUPPORT UPSCALE EVOLUTION INTO A
SEVERE MCS TRACKING EWD/SEWD NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

AVIATION…TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29015.

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