Heavy rains and Severe Thunderstorms are probable during the afternoon and evening hours of Thursday. The entire region is still under a Flash Flood Watch with around 2.5 inches of rain forecast the next 36 hours. Additionally the SPC in Oklahoma has our area under a ‘Slight’ severe storm risk with the main risk being severe winds. The local weather service noted in their forecast discussions that this is an event to take seriously. Flooding potential with this storm is quite high.
COPIOUS MOISTURE FOR THE SYSTEM TO
WORK WITH. IN MY MEMORY…I HAVE NOT SEEN PWAT/S THIS
HIGH…ESPECIALLY IN FALL…WITHOUT SEEING THE OCCURRENCE OF
FLASH FLOODING. FEEL THAT THIS IS AN EVENT TO BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.
At this time we are in a 30% severe wind, 15% severe hail, and 2% tornado risk. The most likely time for these storms appears to be just before or around midnight. Thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon hours today as well, but the bulk of the severe activity is set around midnight… this is subject to change however.
Again flash flooding is a very likely possibility over the next 36 hours… flooding may be as bad or worse than any event we have seen since moving out to Texas a year ago.
