Tornado Watch for part of the Metroplex

A Tornado Watch has been issued for Collin, Dallas, Tarrant counties as well as several others across central, east, and north Texas as well as eastern Oklahoma. The SPC has bumped this watch area up to a 10% tornado risk which is certainly worth paying attention to. While most of the metroplex is under a Tornado Watch, the cold front has mostly passed through the metroplex already so the threat is quite low, if not gone. There is currently a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for eastern Dallas county, but that storm has weakened and moved out of the warned area so I would expect this to expire shortly. Areas directly to the east and south of the Metroplex however should absolutely keep an eye on this situation since the severe weather threat and tornado potential is moderate.

Temperatures behind the front are 20 degrees lower, dropping temps from 75 down to 55 immediately behind.

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 781
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT THU OCT 29 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF TEMPLE TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 780…

DISCUSSION…THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY
ALONG SLOW EWD-MOVING COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. RICH BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE AND STRONG TO INTENSE LOW THROUGH MID-LEVEL WIND FIELDS
WILL SUPPORT INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED STORMS/CELLS. WHILE ACTIVITY MAY
EVENTUALLY CONSOLIDATE INTO A SQUALL LINE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS…INITIAL/DISCRETE STORMS WILL EXISTS WITHIN VERY SUPPORTIVE
ENVIRONMENT FOR PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL ROTATION AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.

AVIATION…TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.