You wont see me use the word 'outbreak' very often, especially when it is in reference to a forecast. Tomorrow's severe weather potential however has good likelihood to become a severe weather outbreak, with the SPC already issuing a 'Moderate' risk for the northern half of DFW, through central Oklahoma. Very large hail is forecast, along with a very favorable environment for tornadoes. The storm mode is expected to begin as discreet or semi-discreet supercells along NW Texas and SW Oklahoma, which could eventually converge into a broken line of severe thunderstorms along the Red River. Current forecasts show the best tornadic potential right along the Red River, however favorable tornado conditions exist around the entire region including DFW.
Above shows the SPC's Day 2 outlook. You can see the moderate risk area encompasses the DFW metroplex as well as portions of Oklahoma.
I will actually be storm chasing this weather event, so I may not be very forthcoming on local weather updates. Keep an eye on the news or an ear to your weather radio on Wednesday.
