Hey everyone, sorry for the lack of updates on all the tropical activity… I was in Vermont for 6 days and been back in Treasure Island for a few days but none of the tropical systems were too terribly interesting until now. Hurricane Ike is going to be a storm to keep a very close [read more...]

Tropical Storm Fay sure has a grudge against Florida for some reason, though the circle of protection around Tampa seems to remain in tact. I was partially hoping for some hurricane action here too as the weather has been quite boring here lately. Anyways I figured I would share some of my weather observations from [read more...]

Well everyone, this storm was very unpredictable indeed, it kept veering to the right of the forecast track and no matter how far east they adjusted the track, it kept going more east. At this time the storm is basically of no threat at all to the area. All the rains are staying to our [read more...]

As most of you have probably been watching, the forecast track takes Fay through Port Charlotte again as a minimal Cat 1 hurricane. This means the threat to us is now considerably lower. Storm surge is likely to not be an issue, inland flooding risk is lowered though still quite present and the chance for [read more...]

The computer models still way out of agreement on the track for this stom, have generally shifted west now taking the storm‘s official track 20 mile offshore of Pinellas County as Moderate to Strong Cat 1 with 85-90 mph winds. This is not exactly the worst case scenereo for us but it isn‘t that great [read more...]

Hey everyone… not too much has changed since last night for the official forecast track… Currently it still pushes through Port Charlotte as a low Cat 1 Hurricane around 8 to 9am, with ETA in Tampa around 8pm as Tropical Storm. The computer models still have no idea where this storm is actually going to [read more...]

Another update on the storm approaching… the official forecast track from the NHC has not changed much from previous advisories today. Still puts it as moderate Cat 1 hurricane making landfall in Sarasota County though this time it is closer to Venice, around 2pm. Currently the track takes it directly through the center of Tampa [read more...]

Hey everyone, another update… the 5pm advisory pushed the forecast track a tad bit west again, putting its official landfall near Sarasota/Venice around 2pm Tuesday. The storm is now forecast to be a moderate Cat 1 storm with 85 mph winds. Attached is a screenshot I took with the official forecast track and updated computer [read more...]

Correction to previous blog… Two corrections that is… First correction, the date/time that the storm will be at its closest will be TUESDAY 8-11pm rather than Monday like I said before. I was doing my math wrong, 96 hours from now does not equal 3 days from now :-/ . Second correction, the NHC has [read more...]