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Forecast

North Texas highs in the low 80s, lows in the upper 50s this weekend!

Cooler temps still expected by this weekend, as the first autumn cold front of the season pushes through the eastern half of the country. Lets take a somewhat more detailed look into what we can expect as this cold front slides through. Above is the GFS model’s forecast for 4pm central time Friday September 7. [read more...]

Moderate risk of severe weather across entire DFW metroplex for Monday!

I will continue to keep these blog posts brief as it’s nearly 3am and I got back from a 15 hour storm chase only an hour ago.The entire region of north Texas including DFW is part of a Moderate risk of severe weather on Monday 3/19. The primary risk will be severe straight line winds, [read more...]

Sunday 03/18 Storm Chase expected, severe weather possible across most of the southern plains

This will be another brief post… after looking at the 00z model runs of the NAM, I plan to target the area around Shamrock, TX for my initial chasing area on Sunday 3/18. Storms may initiate as early as 1 to 4pm local time in that area, with wind shearing becoming increasingly favorable close to [read more...]

03/16 through 03/19 Storm Chase Forecast

This will be a brief review of severe weather parameters and storm chase potential this upcoming Friday 3/16 through Tuesday 3/20. The best looking area for severe storm development Friday 3/16 through Sunday 3/18 appears to be parts of west Texas into the eastern Texas panhandle. Personally I’m thinking the Childress, TX area would be [read more...]

2012 Storm Chase season around the corner & review of upcoming chase potential

Now that the 2012 astronomical spring is almost upon us, it opens the doors for storm chasing season in the great plains and this year I am ready! I plan to do as much chasing as my savings will allow this season, so check back frequently for updates on potential chase days I have scheduled. I [read more...]

A quick weather update… Around the DFW Metroplex Thursday, expect a window between 8am-2pm where widespread strong to severe thunderstorm clusters develop. While the primary severe risk will be hail, straight line winds are possible and the tornado risk looks a bit complicated… within the 1st hour or 2 of a storm developing a tornado [read more...]

Winter weather possible in DFW Sunday evening through Monday morning

The metroplex’s first winter weather event appears possible starting Sunday 2/12 around sunset. Areas along and north of I-20 around the metroplex will likely begin to see a wintery mix of precipitation Sunday around 6pm. While temperatures at the surface will reside close to freezing, higher in the atmosphere temperatures will be favorable for snowfall [read more...]

Strong to severe thunderstorms late Thursday through Friday evening

Folks in the southern plains states of Texas, Oklahoma, and even into Arkansas will likely get a round of strong to severe thunderstorms starting Thursday evening. A strong low pressure system developing on the leeward side of the Rocky Mountains will funnel rich gulf moisture northward across the region. This same system will pull a [read more...]

Heavy rain for north Texas this week

North Texas looks set to receive several inches of rain this upcoming week, helping provide additional relief to our long term drought. Most major computer models are showing a multi-day heavy rain event bringing upwards of 3 inches of rain area-wide. Some embedded thunderstorms are possible as well, presenting a slight hail risk. The rain [read more...]

Severe weather risk Wednesday 12/14 for DFW

A severe thunderstorm risk exists for the entire D/FW Metroplex starting early to mid afternoon Wednesday 12/14. A low pressure system moving rapidly to the northeast will send a pacific cold front through the region. Strong wind shear profiles, upper level dynamics, and rich surface moisture are all very favorable for severe weather development

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