Slight Risk

Strong to severe thunderstorms late Thursday through Friday evening

Folks in the southern plains states of Texas, Oklahoma, and even into Arkansas will likely get a round of strong to severe thunderstorms starting Thursday evening. A strong low pressure system developing on the leeward side of the Rocky Mountains will funnel rich gulf moisture northward across the region. This same system will pull a [read more...]

Severe weather risk Wednesday 12/14 for DFW

A severe thunderstorm risk exists for the entire D/FW Metroplex starting early to mid afternoon Wednesday 12/14. A low pressure system moving rapidly to the northeast will send a pacific cold front through the region. Strong wind shear profiles, upper level dynamics, and rich surface moisture are all very favorable for severe weather development

D/FW severe storm risk Sunday 9/18

A slight risk for severe weather exists today 9/18/11 across the D/FW Metroplex. Today’s severe risks are large hail and high winds, tornadoes development is unlikely but an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out. Timing would likely be in the mid to late afternoon, through evening. My best guess on storm timing would be around [read more...]

May 242011
Radar snaps from 3:22pm CDT

Storms have kicked up off the dryline in western Oklahoma and north west Texas. Storm movement is NE to ENE at 25-30 kts. Several rotating supercells have emerged over west central Oklahoma, while convection is just now beginning across north west Texas. Radar snap from Frederick, OK radar site at 3:22pm CDT. Radar snap from Vance AFB, [read more...]

Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) Tornado Watch issued

PDS Tornado Watch # 356 has been issued for all of central Oklahoma and parts of north central and north west Texas. Storm initiation is expected by 2 – 3pm CDT, and move ENE at 25-30kts. This means the DFW Metroplex and I-35 corridor is likely to be affected by 5-8pm CDT. URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED [read more...]

Tornado outbreak expected Tuesday 5/24/11

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK is forecasting a large tornado outbreak on Tuesday across much of Kansas, Oklahoma, and north Texas, including the DFW Metroplex. Very favorable conditions are coming into place for Tuesday afternoon to create a ‘classic plains tornadic outbreak’ as the SPC has mentioned. EDIT: The SPC has upgraded areas [read more...]

Sunday's storm reports and Monday's continued severe storm risk

An active afternoon for the metroplex as a cluster of severe thunderstorms moved through during the early evening hours. Only hail and high wind reports today around all of north Texas, even though there were a few tornado warned storms during the day. The largest hail in the immediate metroplex was in Haltom City, with [read more...]

Update for severe storm risk on Sunday

A quick update here, the SPC has upgraded the outlook to a Moderate risk for northeast Oklahoma, through Chicago, into central Wisconsin. The DFW Metroplex still remains at a slight risk with our best severe risk being large hail. Storm timing is still set for the afternoon through evening. Keep watching the skies today Texans!

Severe storm risk for Sunday 5/22/11

Another round of severe weather is possible across a large portion of the country, including the DFW Metroplex on Sunday 5/22/11. The SPC discussion mentions 40kt deep layer shear and extreme instability with CAPE around 4000 J/KG. A CAPE of 4000 J/KG is very high and means that any thunderstorms that do develop, will become [read more...]

Slight severe risk Saturday 5/21/11

Various severe hail and wind reports came from around the DFW Metroplex on Friday 5/20/11. No significant severe weather occurred thankfully. Mostly hail of between 0.88 to 1.25 inches, and 60mph winds. Some reports of wind damage came from Wills Point, just east of the metroplex, where a roof was blown off and powerlines were downed. [read more...]

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