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Slight Risk

April 30, 2012 Texas Panhandle Storm Chase

After two weeks of relatively inactive weather across the southern and central plains, finally an opportunity for another storm chase presented itself. April 30 had some promise for severe weather and I was anxious to do some travelling and chase in my favorite part of the country, the Texas panhandle!

April 13, 2012 Oklahoma Storm Chase

After the complete bust of a day we had chasing April 12, we were itching to get into some storm action. Fortunately we had some better luck on April 13th in what one may argue as the the very heart of tornado alley, the Oklahoma City/Norman metro area.

April 12, 2012 Southwest Kansas Storm Chase

Not every storm chase is an adrenaline pumping non-stop thrill ride of danger. While some storm chases yield some amazing weather early in the day when the chase first begun, others are a complete bust of epic proportions. Sadly April 12 was the latter, having not intercepted even the slightest rumble of thunder. GPS track of the [read more...]

Commentary about the April 3rd 2012 north Texas tornado outbreak

During the tornado outbreak across north Texas including my home in D/FW, I was back in Tampa Bay, Florida for a vacation visiting family and friends. For days prior to the event I saw some potential for severe thunderstorm development. On the synoptic scale there were no favorable low level winds, hodographs and helicity values [read more...]

March 18, 2012 Southwest Oklahoma Storm Chase

With much anticipation and planning, my first storm chase of the 2012 season on March 18 was a successful one! One tornado and one funnel cloud were observed, the funnel as it was occluding and the tornado during its entire 3 minute length. The entire trip took 15 hours 35 minutes, drove 772 miles, and cost $104.44 in fuel.

Sunday 03/18 Storm Chase expected, severe weather possible across most of the southern plains

This will be another brief post… after looking at the 00z model runs of the NAM, I plan to target the area around Shamrock, TX for my initial chasing area on Sunday 3/18. Storms may initiate as early as 1 to 4pm local time in that area, with wind shearing becoming increasingly favorable close to [read more...]

Strong to severe thunderstorms late Thursday through Friday evening

Folks in the southern plains states of Texas, Oklahoma, and even into Arkansas will likely get a round of strong to severe thunderstorms starting Thursday evening. A strong low pressure system developing on the leeward side of the Rocky Mountains will funnel rich gulf moisture northward across the region. This same system will pull a [read more...]

Severe weather risk Wednesday 12/14 for DFW

A severe thunderstorm risk exists for the entire D/FW Metroplex starting early to mid afternoon Wednesday 12/14. A low pressure system moving rapidly to the northeast will send a pacific cold front through the region. Strong wind shear profiles, upper level dynamics, and rich surface moisture are all very favorable for severe weather development

D/FW severe storm risk Sunday 9/18

A slight risk for severe weather exists today 9/18/11 across the D/FW Metroplex. Today’s severe risks are large hail and high winds, tornadoes development is unlikely but an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out. Timing would likely be in the mid to late afternoon, through evening. My best guess on storm timing would be around [read more...]

May 242011
Radar snaps from 3:22pm CDT

Storms have kicked up off the dryline in western Oklahoma and north west Texas. Storm movement is NE to ENE at 25-30 kts. Several rotating supercells have emerged over west central Oklahoma, while convection is just now beginning across north west Texas. Radar snap from Frederick, OK radar site at 3:22pm CDT. Radar snap from Vance AFB, [read more...]

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